Economy & Economic Development  October 2, 2026

Pessimism persists among Colorado biz leaders

BOULDER — For the better part of the past two years, Colorado business leaders have lacked confidence in a host of economic factors, and that sense of pessimism only strengthened heading into the fourth quarter of 2026. 

The University of Colorado’s Leeds Business Confidence Index (LBCI) — which measured the sentiment of 205 survey respondents in September on six categories: the state economy, national economy, industry sales, industry profits and industry hiring — fell from 43.2 ahead of the third quarter to 40.7 heading into the home stretch of the year. An index score of 50 is neutral — a score below 50 suggests pessimism.

“Despite the pessimistic outlook, all six components of the index were higher than a year ago,” the report said. 

All six LBCI metrics were below the 50-point threshold, and all fell in the most recent report, which records both quantitative confidence scores and qualitative anecdotes from business leaders.

“Discussions about policy, regulation and costs pervaded several of the open-ended questions,” Brian Lewandowski, executive director of CU’s Business Research Division, said in a statement that accompanied the LBCI report. “Sentiments shared in the open-ended questions reflected the general pessimism.”

Nearly half of respondents noted concerns with government and politics, “the most frequently cited reason for respondents’ near-term sentiment,” according to the report. That was “followed by inflation and cost-of-living concerns at 39% and interest rates and financial market conditions at 31%.”

Looking ahead, CU economists predict that the LBCI score will rise to 42.3.

Business confidence slips heading into fourth quarter

The Leeds Business Confidence Index fell 2.5 points to 40.7 for the fourth quarter of 2026. All six components declined from the third quarter, but every one remains above its year-ago reading — and all stay below the neutral mark of 50.

LBCI, Q4 2026
40.7
Below 50 = negative outlook
Quarterly change
▼ −2.5
From 43.2 in Q3 2026
Annual change
▲ +4.7
From 36.0 in Q4 2025
Weakest component
35.2
State economy
Index and components, Q4 2025 to Q4 2026
Leeds Business Confidence Index fell to 40.7 in Q4 2026 from 43.2 in Q3 2026.
Component Q4 2025 Q1 2026 Q2 2026 Q3 2026 Q4 2026 Quarterly change Annual change
Industry sales 41.7 48.1 48.9 49.6 45.2 ▼ −4.4 ▲ +3.5
Industry profits 39.2 44.9 46.0 46.3 42.8 ▼ −3.5 ▲ +3.6
Industry hiring 34.8 40.0 41.2 42.3 42.0 ▼ −0.3 ▲ +7.2
Capital expenditures 38.3 44.2 45.1 45.6 42.1 ▼ −3.5 ▲ +3.8
State economy 31.0 39.9 34.7 36.9 35.2 ▼ −1.7 ▲ +4.2
National economy 31.1 41.3 35.4 38.6 37.1 ▼ −1.5 ▲ +6.0
LBCI 36.0 43.1 41.9 43.2 40.7 ▼ −2.5 ▲ +4.7
The LBCI is a survey-based diffusion index of Colorado business leaders’ expectations for the quarter ahead. Readings above 50 indicate positive expectations; readings below 50 indicate negative expectations. Changes are in index points.
Source: Leeds Business Confidence Index, Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado Boulder. Data through Q4 2026.

For the better part of the past two years, Colorado business leaders have lacked confidence in a host of economic factors, and that sense of pessimism only strengthened heading into the fourth quarter of 2026.

A Maryland native, Lucas has worked at news agencies from Wyoming to South Carolina before putting roots down in Colorado.

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